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عنوان :

Developing a Model for Ranking Mutual Funds in Iran Using the Systematic Risk Assessment Approach Based on LTD, SES, MES, and CoVaR Models

کلیدواژه :

Systemic Risk,Conditional Value at Risk (Δ؛CoVaR),Systemic Expected Shortfall (SES),Marginal Expected Shortfall (MES),Low Sequence Dependence (LTD)

ناشر :

تحقیقات مالی - Financial Research Journal

سال :

1399/2021

چکیده

Objective The simplest thing that may make an amateur investor invest in a fund is simply to look at the fund’؛ s return that can be calculated very easily. Capital market experts have always tried to make investors aware of the threat of making judgments merely based on the fund's returns. Methods Accordingly, the present study addresses one of the performance evaluation techniques using risk assessment models. This technique simply focuses on the impact of the capital market on a mutual fund that can largely reflect the position of asset management and the stability of the fund’؛ s performance. This study employs LTD, SES, MES, CoVaR models to assess systemic risks in equity funds in Iran. Besides, the TOPSIS model and a combination of the mentioned techniques are used to rank each mutual fund in terms of systemic risk. Results According to the topic of the paper, designing a model for ranking the mutual funds is finally presented based on the models based on risk assessment based on systemic risk assessment based on the criteria presented in the Iranian stock with regard to the criteria presented by this ranking. Conclusion Using the hybrid regression analysis method (quantile)-topsis, the risk of a system of four aspects of value at risk (CoVaR), the marginal loss of expected loss (MES) and the lower tail dependence (LTD) in the funds were evaluated and the maximum impact on the least impact of funds in the system was determined.